2026 Election Poll Tracker

Note: Polling data shown may not reflect the latest available results. Polls are aggregated from public sources and updated periodically. Last data refresh: March 15, 2026.

Real-time polling averages for Senate, House, and Governor races across the country. Updated daily from major polls.

National Overview

Dem Senate Seats

GOP Senate Seats

Toss-up Races

Governor Races

Last updated: March 16, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET

Senate Balance

Democrats currently hold 51 seats (including 3 independents who caucus with Democrats). Republicans hold 49 seats. With 34 seats up in 2026, control of the Senate is at stake.

Dem 51

GOP 49

Current Senate composition (100 seats)

Most Competitive Senate Races

View All 35 Races →

Alaska Toss-up

Dan Sullivan (R) - Incumbent, seeking third term; at about 42% in primary (certified), advancing to RCV general

Mary Peltola (D) - Former US Rep; led primary at about 49% (certified), advancing to RCV general; sole Democrat on ballot after Leslie withdrew

Dan J. Sullivan Jr. (R) - Retired teacher from Petersburg; name-sharing 3rd-place finisher (certified), advancing to RCV general

Alaska Survey Research Aug 2-5 (1,371 LV, MoE 3%): Peltola 51, Sullivan 49 (RCV final round); Data for Progress Jul 28-Aug 4 (605 LV, MoE 4%, D-aligned): Peltola 47 first round, 53 in simulated RCV final over Sullivan 47; NYT/Siena Jun 15-29: Sullivan 47, Peltola 45. Inside Elections moved from Lean R to Tilt R on Sep 3 (Cook and Sabato remain Toss-up). Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Georgia Toss-up

Rick Jackson (R) - Won Jun 16 runoff over Trump/Kemp-endorsed Burt Jones; Trump endorsed Jul 22

Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) - Former Atlanta mayor; won Dem primary

InsiderAdvantage Aug 16-17 (800 LV, MoE 3.46%): Jackson 46.3, Bottoms 46.2 (statistical tie); Natural Gas Assoc of GA Jul 29-Aug 1 (MoE 3.6%): Bottoms 46.4, Jackson 44.9 (statistical tie); Fox News Jul 13-16: Bottoms 52, Jackson 47 (1,060 voters, MoE 3%); State Navigate Jul 10-13: Bottoms 51, Jackson 44; Wick Jun 27-30: tied 43-43 Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Iowa Toss-up

Ashley Hinson (R) - Congresswoman, Trump-endorsed, won Jun 2 primary 73.9%

Josh Turek (D) - State representative, won Jun 2 primary 62.6%

Global Strategy Group for Turek campaign (fielded Aug 27-31, D-aligned partisan internal poll, treat with caution): Turek 46, Hinson 42, Libertarian Laehn 6%; Emerson for Nexstar fielded Aug 31-Sep 1 (750 LV, CI +/-3.6%): Hinson 50, Turek 45 (Hinson +5); Wedgewood (fielded Aug 29): Hinson 50, Turek 48 (Hinson +2); Suffolk University fielded Aug 20-23 (500 LV, MoE 4.4%): Hinson 45, Turek 41 (Hinson +4); Emerson fielded Aug 2-4 (712 LV, MoE 3.7%): Hinson 48, Turek 45; Fox News Jun 23-27: Turek 50, Hinson 46; NYT/Siena Jun 15-27: Hinson 48, Turek 46 Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Maine Toss-up

Susan Collins (R) - Incumbent, seeking sixth term

Troy Jackson (D) - Former state Senate president; formally nominated at Jul 25 Bangor convention with 90%+ of delegates; all serious rivals dropped out by Jul 19

SRSS for CNN (fielded Aug 31-Sep 6, 880 LV, MoE 3.7%): Jackson 48, Collins 45 (statistical tie); Abacus Data (released Aug 29, field dates unconfirmed): Jackson 52, Collins 43 (LV); Fox News Aug 6-10 (1,000 RV): Jackson 48, Collins 46; UNH Jul 15-20: Jackson 49, Collins 46 (1,236 respondents, MoE +/-2.8%); SurveyUSA Jul: Jackson 45, Collins 44; Senate Majority PAC/Hart Research (Jul 27-Aug 1, D-aligned partisan poll): Jackson 49, Collins 45 Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Michigan Toss-up

Abdul El-Sayed (D) - Progressive public health advocate; won Aug 4 Democratic primary over Rep. Haley Stevens despite $60M+ in outside spending against him (NBC News projection)

Mike Rogers (R) - Former congressman, 2024 nominee, GOP nominee

EPIC-MRA for Detroit News/WDIV-TV (fielded Aug 31-Sep 3, published Sep 8, 600 LV, MoE 4%): Rogers 45.8, El-Sayed 44.4 (Rogers +1.4, within MoE, statistical tie); EPIC-MRA fielded Aug 22-28 (600 LV, MoE 4%): El-Sayed 47, Rogers 43 (El-Sayed +4); IPPSR/MSU (YouGov panel, fielded Aug 10-20, 1,000 adults, released Sep 1): El-Sayed 50, Rogers 45 LV; El-Sayed 48, Rogers 44 RV; AARP fielded Aug 9-11 (877 LV, MoE 3.3%): El-Sayed 48, Rogers 47; TIPP (field dates unconfirmed, post-primary Aug 2026): El-Sayed 45, Rogers 42; Susquehanna fielded Aug 11-17 (800 LV): El-Sayed 46, Rogers 39 (El-Sayed +7); Fox News fielded Aug 6-10 (1,006 RV, MoE 3%): Rogers 51, El-Sayed 47; EPIC-MRA fielded Jul 24-31: Rogers 46, El-Sayed 43; Mitchell Research fielded Jul 28-31 (672 LV): Rogers 45, El-Sayed 45 (tied); Glengariff fielded Jul 22-24: Rogers 49, El-Sayed 39 Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Nevada Toss-up

Joe Lombardo (R) - Incumbent; won primary with 91%

Aaron Ford (D) - Attorney General; won primary with 63.8%

PPP/DGA Jul 15-16: Lombardo 44, Ford 44 (tied, 558 likely voters); Jun 2026: Lombardo 45, Ford 42 Updated: Sep 10, 2026

New Hampshire Toss-up

Chris Pappas (D) - US Rep; won Sep 8 Dem primary about 62% over Manzur (election-night count, NBC News, NHPR)

John Sununu (R) - Former US Senator, Trump-endorsed; won Sep 8 GOP primary about 69% over Brown and Sivalingam (election-night count, NBC News, Roll Call)

UNH fielded Aug 20-24: Sununu 45, Pappas 43 in general (Sununu leading, reversal from Jul); St. Anselm fielded Aug 17-18: Pappas 48, Sununu 41; UNH Jul: Pappas 47, Sununu 44 (general) Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Ohio (Special) Toss-up

Jon Husted (R) - Appointed incumbent (filling JD Vance's seat)

Sherrod Brown (D) - Former three-term senator

Abacus Data (released Aug 28, field dates unconfirmed): Brown 52, Husted 46; Wedgewood Aug 11-13 (800 LV, MoE 4%): Brown 48, Husted 44; Fox News Aug 6-10 (1,000 RV, MoE 3%): Brown 53, Husted 45; Fox News May 28-Jun 1: Brown 53, Husted 45; AARP Jun 14-16: Brown 48, Husted 45; BGSU/YouGov: Husted 50, Brown 47 Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Ohio Toss-up

Vivek Ramaswamy (R) - Entrepreneur, won May 5 primary

Amy Acton (D) - Former state health director, unopposed in primary

Wedgewood Aug 11-13 (800 LV, MoE 4%): Acton 47, Ramaswamy 46; Fox News Aug 6-10 (1,000 RV, MoE 3%): Ramaswamy 50, Acton 48; Impact Research Jul 24-28: Ramaswamy 47, Acton 46 (800 LV, MoE 3.5%); AARP Jun 2026: Acton 47, Ramaswamy 44; NYT/Siena: tied 47-47 Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Texas Toss-up

Ken Paxton (R) - State AG, won May 26 runoff over incumbent Cornyn

James Talarico (D) - State representative, won Dem primary 52.4%

Overton Insights for TPPF fielded Aug 24-26 (1,167 LV, MoE 2.9%, R-leaning sponsor): Talarico 44, Paxton 43.6 (12.6% undecided); Slingshot Strategies (D, partisan) fielded Aug 24: Talarico 48, Paxton 42 (D-aligned partisan poll, treat with caution); UT/Texas Politics Project fielded Aug 5-13 (1,200 RV, MoE 2.83%): Talarico 42, Paxton 39 (3% Libertarian, 14% undecided); Emerson Aug 9-10: Paxton 47, Talarico 46 (tied within MoE); TSU/Barbara Jordan Center Aug 4: Talarico 47, Paxton 45; Fox News Jul 23-27 (1,006 RV, MoE 3%): Talarico 51, Paxton 48; TPOR Jul 15-17 (1,048 LV): Talarico 45, Paxton 40 (Talarico +5, MoE 3.4%); NYT/Siena: tied 47-47 Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Arizona Lean D

Katie Hobbs (D) - Incumbent; won Jul 21 Democratic primary unopposed

Andy Biggs (R) - US Rep, Trump-endorsed; won Jul 21 GOP primary over Schweikert

Noble Predictive Insights, fielded Aug 10-13 (LV): Hobbs 48, Biggs 35 (Hobbs +13); AARP Jul 26-28 (MoE 3.2%): Hobbs 52, Biggs 44 (Hobbs +8); Emerson (Jul 2026 pre-primary): Hobbs 44, Biggs 43; Biggs won Jul 21 GOP primary with ~70% Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Iowa Lean D

Zach Lahn (R) - Businessman; upset win with 37.65% over Rep. Randy Feenstra

Rob Sand (D) - State Auditor; unopposed for Dem nomination

Emerson fielded Aug 31-Sep 1: Sand 49, Lahn 46; Emerson Aug 2-4 (LV): Sand 48, Lahn 43; Fox News Jun 23-27: Sand 53, Lahn 44; NYT/Siena Jun: Sand 48, Lahn 47 Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Kansas Lean R

Ty Masterson (R) - Senate President, Trump-endorsed; won Aug 4 GOP primary with 42% over Secretary of State Scott Schwab and others

Cindy Holscher (D) - State senator; won Aug 4 Democratic primary

Nominees set after Aug 4 primaries: Masterson won GOP primary with 42%; Holscher won Democratic primary. Open seat, Kelly term-limited. Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Michigan Lean D

Jocelyn Benson (D) - Secretary of State; won Aug 4 Democratic gubernatorial primary over Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson

John James (R) - US Rep, Trump-endorsed; won Aug 4 GOP gubernatorial primary over businessman Perry Johnson

EPIC-MRA fielded Aug 22-28 (600 LV, MoE 4%): Benson 45, James 41 (Benson +4); EPIC-MRA Jul 31 (post-primary): Benson 47, James 38 (Benson +9); Mitchell Research Jul 28-29 (672 LV, post-primary): Benson 46, James 44 (Benson +2); Sabato's Crystal Ball moved from Toss-up to Lean D on Jul 23 Updated: Sep 10, 2026

New Hampshire Lean R

Kelly Ayotte (R) - Incumbent; won Sep 8 GOP primary easily over Fife and McClory (AP called)

Cinde Warmington (D) - Former executive councilor; won Dem primary, ran effectively unopposed

UNH Survey Center fielded Aug 20-24 (released Aug 27): Ayotte 49, Warmington 39 (2,100 respondents); UNH Survey Center Jun 30: Ayotte 44, Warmington 39 Updated: Sep 10, 2026

North Carolina Lean D

Roy Cooper (D) - Former Governor, Democratic nominee

Michael Whatley (R) - Former RNC chair, Trump-backed Republican nominee

High Point University Aug 3-12 (LV): Cooper 50, Whatley 45 (+5); Carolina Journal Aug 9-10: Cooper 51.5, Whatley 39 (+12.5); Fox News Jul 28-Aug 5 (1,000 RV): Cooper 53, Whatley 44; Elon Univ late Jul: Cooper 53, Whatley 42 (+11); Carolina Forward Aug 2026: Cooper 50, Whatley 43; Emerson Aug 1 (CBS17): Cooper 47, Whatley 41; PPP Jul 10-11: Cooper 48, Whatley 44 Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Wisconsin Lean D

David Crowley (D) - Milwaukee County Executive; won Aug 11 Democratic primary narrowly over Francesca Hong; endorsed by Gov. Evers

Tom Tiffany (R) - US Representative, Trump-endorsed; won Aug 11 GOP primary

Marquette Law School (released Aug 26, fielded Aug 12-20, 891 RV, 738 LV, MoE 4%): Crowley 49, Tiffany 44 (LV); 44-44 (RV); TIPP Insights (field dates unconfirmed, approx. Aug 18): Crowley 47, Tiffany 43; Badger Battleground/Platform Communications, fielded Aug 12-13 (MoE 4.4%): Crowley 48, Tiffany 44; RMG Research/Napolitan, fielded Jul 20-24 and therefore pre-primary (MoE 3.5%): Crowley 46, Tiffany 43; GBAO for Protect Our Wisconsin/DGA, fielded Jul 30-Aug 3 (800 LV, MoE 3.5%): Crowley 47, Tiffany 44 (D-aligned partisan poll). Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Alaska Likely R

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D) - Former state legislator from Sitka; led Aug 18 primary with 21.62% (certified); sole active Democratic candidate after Begich endorsed him Aug 28

Tom Begich (D) - Former state senator; 20.07% (certified); suspended campaign Aug 28 citing funding, endorsed Kreiss-Tomkins; remains on ballot under Alaska RCV rules

Bernadette Wilson (R) - 10.44% (certified); advancing to RCV general

No post-primary general-election poll yet. Sabato's Crystal Ball moved from Likely R to Toss-up Sep 3 (Cook Political Report still Likely R). Two Democrats led the Aug 18 primary in a state that has leaned Republican; with Begich's withdrawal the effective matchup is Kreiss-Tomkins (D) against Wilson and Bronson (both R). Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Connecticut Likely D

Ned Lamont (D) - Incumbent seeking third term; won Aug 11 Democratic primary over state Rep. Josh Elliott approx. 67-33%

Ryan Fazio (R) - State senator; GOP nominee

Lamont leads Fazio 49.7-29.5 in general matchup (SHU/WFSB/CT Insider Jul 21-26). Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Florida Likely R

Byron Donalds (R) - US Rep, Trump-endorsed; won Aug 18 GOP primary with about 48% over Jay Collins (25%), James Fishback (10%), and Paul Renner (9%)

David Jolly (D) - Former GOP congressman who switched parties; won Aug 18 Dem primary with about 61% after Jerry Demings dropped out in June following a prostate cancer diagnosis

UNF Jul 8-17: Donalds 46, Jolly 41 (general matchup, MoE +/-3.8%); Emerson Jul 9-11: Jolly 46, Donalds 42 (general matchup) Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Georgia Likely D

Jon Ossoff (D) - Incumbent

Mike Collins (R) - US Rep, Trump-endorsed, won Jun 16 runoff 55.5% over Derek Dooley

InsiderAdvantage Aug 16-17 (800 LV, MoE 3.46%): Ossoff 50, Collins 43 (Ossoff +7); AARP Jul 13-16: Ossoff 52, Collins 43 (1,060 LV, MoE 3%); Fox News Jun 23-27: Ossoff 56, Collins 43 Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Minnesota Likely D

Peggy Flanagan (D) - Lt. Governor; won Aug 11 DFL Senate primary over Rep. Angie Craig 58.7-39.7%

Michele Tafoya (R) - NRSC-endorsed; won Aug 11 GOP Senate primary with about 52% over state party-endorsed Schwarze and Royce White

KSTP/SurveyUSA (post-primary, Aug 2026): Flanagan 46, Tafoya 41 (Flanagan +5, within MoE); first post-primary general election poll in the Senate race. Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Minnesota Likely D

Amy Klobuchar (D) - US Senator; won Aug 11 DFL gubernatorial primary with 89.1%

Lisa Demuth (R) - MN House Speaker; won Aug 11 GOP gubernatorial primary with about 45% over Trump-endorsed Lindell (33%) and state party-endorsed Qualls; first Black major-party gubernatorial nominee in Minnesota history

KSTP/SurveyUSA (post-primary, Aug 2026): Klobuchar leads statewide moderates 57-25; Demuth leads Klobuchar 44-42 in northeastern MN (within MoE). Pre-primary MN Poll: Klobuchar led Demuth by about 8 pts statewide. Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Nebraska Likely R

Pete Ricketts (R) - Incumbent, won May 12 primary with 81.8%

Dan Osborn (I) - Former union leader, 2024 candidate; no poll shows Ricketts pulling clear in a state Trump won by 20 pts

Impact Research for Osborn for Senate, fielded Aug 9-13 (600 LV, MoE 4%, D-aligned partisan poll, treat with caution): Ricketts 47, Osborn 47 (tied); Feb statewide: Ricketts 48, Osborn 47 (statistical tie); D-aligned Jul poll: Osborn +5 (partisan source, treat with caution) Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Texas Likely R

Greg Abbott (R) - Incumbent, won primary with 82%

Gina Hinojosa (D) - State representative, won primary with 59%

Texas Public Opinion Research (TPOR) fielded Aug 21-24 (1,000 LV, MoE 3.3%): Abbott 49, Hinojosa 42 (Abbott +7) Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Florida (Special) Safe R

Ashley Moody (R) - Appointed incumbent; won Aug 18 GOP primary with about 80% over Chris Gleason (14%) and two others

Angie Nixon (D) - Florida state Rep., democratic socialist; upset front-runner Alex Vindman in Aug 18 Dem primary 56.1% to 43.9% (705,192 to 552,774 votes, CNN, NBC News projection)

Sabato's Crystal Ball and Cook Political Report both rate Safe R following Moody's dominant primary win and Nixon's upset primary victory. UNF PORL fielded Jul 8-17 (848 LV, MoE 3.8%): Moody 50, Nixon 42 (pre-primary general-election matchup, pollster tested both Vindman and Nixon as Democratic opponents). Pre-primary vs. Vindman (now outdated): WLRN/Florida Phoenix Jul 20: Moody 50, Vindman 40; AIF Jun 3-7: Moody 47, Vindman 40. Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Massachusetts Safe D

Ed Markey (D) - Incumbent; won Sep 1 Democratic primary over Rep. Seth Moulton 64.9% to 35.1% (572,595 to 310,365 votes, final count; AP projection called at 8:31 p.m.)

John Deaton (R) - Won Sep 1 Republican primary over Nathan Bech; November challenger to Markey

Final Sep 1 primary result: Markey 64.9%, Moulton 35.1% (572,595 to 310,365 votes). Pre-primary polls for context: Emerson College (fielded Aug 28-29, 2026): Markey 60, Moulton 33; UNH Survey Center (released Aug 26, field dates unconfirmed): Markey 63, Moulton 28; Suffolk/Boston Globe Aug 13-16 (500 likely Dem primary voters): Markey 52, Moulton 38 Updated: Sep 10, 2026

New York Safe D

Kathy Hochul (D) - Incumbent

Bruce Blakeman (R) - Nassau County executive; also Conservative Party endorsed

Siena: Hochul 50, Blakeman 25 Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Pennsylvania Safe D

Josh Shapiro (D) - Incumbent

Stacy Garrity (R) - State treasurer

Quinnipiac: Shapiro 55, Garrity 37 Updated: Sep 10, 2026

South Carolina Safe R

Annie Andrews (D) - Pediatrician, won Jun 9 Dem primary 61.5%

Darline Graham Nordone (R) - Trump-endorsed appointed interim senator; won Aug 25 runoff over Ralph Norman (AP projection). Led Aug 11 primary 32.7%, Norman 24.6%.

Emerson/Nexstar Jul 28-29 (n=500, MoE 4.3%): Norman 22%, Nordone 19%, Fry 12%, Sanford 11% (25% undecided); Aug 11 primary: Nordone 32.7%, Norman 24.6%, Fry 19.6%; Nordone won Aug 25 runoff. Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Vermont Safe R

Phil Scott (R) - Incumbent, GOP nominee; ran effectively unopposed

Amanda Janoo (D) - Economist; won Aug 11 Democratic primary narrowly over Aly Richards

Morning Consult (Feb 2026): Scott 74% approval, most popular governor in the country. Updated: Sep 10, 2026

Top Governor Races

View All 36 Races →

North Carolina Competitive

Josh Stein (D)

49%

Mark Robinson (R)

45%

Avg. of 5 polls Updated Mar 15

Wisconsin Toss-up

Tony Evers (D) - Incumbent

47%

Tim Michels (R)

47%

Avg. of 4 polls Updated Mar 13

Michigan Competitive

Gretchen Whitmer (D) - Incumbent

51%

Tudor Dixon (R)

44%

Avg. of 6 polls Updated Mar 12